Capri Holdings (CPRI) Down 4.5% Since Last Earnings Report: Can It Rebound?

A month has gone by since the last earnings report for Capri Holdings (CPRI). Shares have lost about 4.5% in that time frame, underperforming the S&P 500.But investors have to be wondering, will the recent negative trend continue leading up to its next earnings release, or is Capri Holdings due for a breakout? Before we dive into how investors and analysts have reacted as of late, let's take a quick look at its most recent earnings report in order to get a better handle on the important drivers.Capri Holdings Beats Q4 Earnings Estimates, Sees FY27 Growth AheadCapri Holdings delivered fourth-quarter fiscal 2026 results, with revenues missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate and declining year over year. However, earnings surpassed the consensus estimate and improved significantly from the prior-year quarter. Management highlighted that strategic initiatives introduced last year are gaining traction, with improving trends visible across both Michael Kors and Jimmy Choo. The company noted that actions taken to strengthen product innovation, brand desirability and consumer engagement are resonating well with consumers, providing early validation of its transformation efforts. Capri Holdings also emphasized that fiscal 2026 was focused on stabilizing the business and building a stronger foundation for long-term growth. Looking ahead, management expressed confidence in returning to revenue and earnings growth in fiscal 2027, projecting low-single-digit revenue growth and nearly 40% earnings-per-share growth. Longer term, the company aims to grow Michael Kors revenues to $4 billion and Jimmy Choo revenues to $800 million while significantly improving profitability and delivering sustainable long-term shareholder value.More on Capri Holdings’ Q4 ResultsCapri Holdings reported adjusted earnings of 22 cents per share for the fourth quarter, which surpassed the Zacks Consensus Estimate of 11 cents. The bottom line improved significantly from an adjusted loss of $4.55 per share reported in the year-ago period. On a reported basis, the company posted a loss of one cent per share compared with a loss of $4.90 in the prior-year quarter. Total revenues came in at $796 million, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $804 million. The top line declined 3.7% year over year on a reported basis and 7% on a constant-currency basis.By geography, The Americas remained the largest region but was also the main drag, with revenues of $433 million compared with $493 million in the year-ago quarter. EMEA improved to $246 million from $223 million, while Asia edged up to $117 million from $111 million, partially offsetting softness in the Americas.Gross profit increased to $516 million from $495 million in the year-ago quarter. Gross margin expanded 490 basis points to 64.8%, aided by a $40 million reduction in the cost of goods sold tied to estimated IEEPA tariff refunds. Operating loss narrowed to $27 million from $57 million a year ago. On an adjusted basis, operating loss improved to $1 million from $15 million in the prior-year quarter, with adjusted operating margin improving to negative 0.1% from negative 1.8% a year ago.CPRI’s Q4 Revenue Insights by SegmentsMichael Kors generated revenues of $656 million, down 5.5% year over year on a reported basis and 8.4% on a constant-currency basis. The brand experienced sequential improvement in retail trends, with full-price retail channel comparable sales increasing across all regions. Total retail channel average unit retails (AURs) increased by a mid-single-digit percentage, while wholesale sales at the point of sale improved to approximately flat compared with the prior year. Gross margin expanded to 64.6%, benefiting from an estimated receivable related to IEEPA tariff refunds. Operating income increased to $57 million from $32 million a year ago, while operating margin expanded to 8.7% from 4.6% in the prior-year quarter.Jimmy Choo delivered a solid performance, with revenues increasing 5.3% year over year to $140 million on a reported basis and remaining flat on a constant-currency basis. Retail sales increased by a mid-single-digit percentage, with sequential improvement across all regions, while wholesale point-of-sale trends also improved sequentially. Gross margin came in at 65.7%. However, the brand reported an operating loss of $20 million compared with an operating loss of $10 million in the prior-year quarter.Capri Holdings’ Financial Health SnapshotCapri Holdings exited fiscal 2026 with cash and cash equivalents of $135 million and total borrowings of $357 million, resulting in net debt of $222 million, a significant improvement from $1.4 billion in the prior year. Operating cash flow for fiscal 2026 totaled $197 million, while capital expenditures were $63 million, leading to free cash flow of $134 million. Inventory levels declined 17% year over year to $581 million, reflecting improved inventory discipline and operational efficiency.Capri Holdings resumed a more aggressive capital return stance in the quarter, repurchasing approximately 4 million shares for $79 million. The remaining authorization under the share repurchase program was $921 million at the end of the fourth quarter.Capri Holdings’ Q1 OutlookFor the first quarter of fiscal 2027, Capri Holdings expects total revenues of approximately $750 million and operating income of around $10 million. Net interest and other income are projected at roughly $20 million, while the effective tax rate is expected to be approximately negative 50%. The company anticipates earnings per share of about 40 cents.Within the segments, Michael Kors revenues are projected at approximately $585 million, with the operating margin expected in the high-single-digit range. Jimmy Choo revenues are anticipated to be approximately $165 million, with the operating margin in the low-single-digit range.CPRI’s FY27 GuidanceFor fiscal 2027, Capri Holdings expects total revenues of approximately $3.525 billion, representing growth of nearly 1.5% from fiscal 2026 revenues of $3.474 billion. The company projects operating income of around $190 million compared with $23 million reported in fiscal 2026. Net interest and other income are projected in the range of $85-$90 million, while the effective tax rate is expected to be in the low-teens range. The company anticipates earnings per share of about $2.15. Capri Holdings also plans share repurchases of nearly $200 million and capital expenditures of approximately $125 million during the fiscal year.For Michael Kors, fiscal 2027 revenues are expected to be approximately $2.9 billion, with the operating margin projected in the low-double-digit range. Jimmy Choo revenues are anticipated to be approximately $625 million, with the operating margin in the low-single-digit range.How Have Estimates Been Moving Since Then?In the past month, investors have witnessed a upward trend in estimates review.The consensus estimate has shifted 20% due to these changes.VGM ScoresCurrently, Capri Holdings has a nice Growth Score of B, however its Momentum Score is doing a bit better with an A. Charting a somewhat similar path, the stock has a grade of B on the value side, putting it in the second quintile for value investors.Overall, the stock has an aggregate VGM Score of A. If you aren't focused on one strategy, this score is the one you should be interested in.OutlookEstimates have been trending upward for the stock, and the magnitude of these revisions looks promising. Interestingly, Capri Holdings has a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold). We expect an in-line return from the stock in the next few months.Beyond Nvidia: AI's Second Wave Is HereThe AI revolution has already minted millionaires. But the stocks everyone knows about aren't likely to keep delivering the biggest profits. AI’s second wave is moving from infrastructure to implementation and these companies are at the forefront of this transition, positioned to become what Amazon and Google were to the internet era.See Stocks Now >>This article originally published on Zacks Investment Research (zacks.com).Zacks Investment ResearchWeiter zum vollständigen Artikel bei Zacks Weiter zum vollständigen Artikel bei Zacks